Can the world rely on renewable energy? | Future Earth | BBC News

The global trajectory toward a sustainable, green future hinges significantly on our ability to transition away from fossil fuels and embrace renewable energy sources. As highlighted in the accompanying BBC Future Earth segment, this shift is not merely about deploying new technologies; it also encompasses a monumental cleanup effort, addressing the environmental legacy of past energy practices while simultaneously pioneering innovative solutions for tomorrow. From sealing abandoned oil wells leaking potent greenhouse gases to reimagining how we power our homes and transport, the journey towards a decarbonized world presents both formidable challenges and unparalleled opportunities for ingenuity and economic growth.

Addressing the Lingering Shadow of Fossil Fuels: The Orphan Well Crisis

The vestiges of our industrial past, particularly the millions of abandoned oil and gas wells scattered across landscapes, represent a critical environmental liability. These “orphan wells,” as they are often termed, are far from inert; they continuously emit methane, a greenhouse gas many times more potent than carbon dioxide over a shorter atmospheric lifespan. As Professor David Shukman rightly points out, curbing methane leakage offers a rapid and significant pathway to mitigating climate change, making the sealing of these wells an imperative rather than a mere cleanup.

The video vividly illustrates the daunting scale of this problem, depicting crews in Upstate New York diligently sealing wells mere feet from residential homes, a stark reminder of historical drilling practices predating modern urban development. With over 120,000 documented sites in the United States and an estimated true number potentially in the millions, these wells collectively contribute nearly 3% of the nation’s total methane emissions. This substantial “methane slip” not only accelerates global warming but can also pose localized risks, including groundwater contamination and air quality issues for nearby communities. The 2021 federal infrastructure bill, which allocated $4.7 billion for remediation efforts, signifies a critical injection of capital, akin to a vital organ transplant for a long-neglected system, aimed at revitalizing cleanup initiatives and fostering a new “green boom” in regions where the last one faded.

Luke Plants, CEO of Plants and Goodwin, a third-generation oil services company, emphasizes the operational complexities involved. Sealing these wells, often drilled 100 to 150 years ago without stringent modern safety protocols, involves injecting concrete deep underground. This process can be slow, expensive, and hazardous, frequently encountering unforeseen obstructions or gas pressures that demand meticulous well control to prevent dangerous blowouts. The analogy here is akin to performing intricate surgery on a historical structure built without blueprints; every step demands caution and expertise to navigate unexpected internal complexities. While companies like Plants and Goodwin are rapidly expanding, projecting to decommission 150 to 200 wells annually, this rate is a fraction of what is needed to address a problem spanning hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of sites.

The Accelerating Shift: Global Growth and Economic Advantages of Renewable Energy

Amidst the challenges of legacy pollution, the momentum of the renewable energy sector provides a powerful counter-narrative of progress and optimism. The year 2022 marked a significant milestone, with wind and solar energy collectively accounting for 12% of the global electricity supply—a new record indicative of burgeoning adoption rates worldwide. This upward trend is not incidental; it is underpinned by substantial advancements in technology, increasingly supportive policy frameworks, and perhaps most crucially, a dramatic shift in economic viability.

Heymi Bahar, Senior Energy Analyst at the International Energy Agency (IEA), articulates this “good news” with compelling clarity. He notes the consistent installation of record-level new power plants year after year, with a substantial 15% increase in deployed capacity in the previous year alone. This expansion is largely fueled by policymakers actively introducing and accelerating the implementation of new policies that create a more stable and favorable operating environment for renewables. Furthermore, the once-prohibitive costs of renewable technologies, particularly solar PV and wind, have plummeted, making them economically superior to fossil fuel alternatives in a majority of countries. This profound cost reduction, much like the mass production of consumer electronics making sophisticated devices ubiquitous, has fundamentally altered the investment landscape, rendering the “cost discussion almost over” in favor of clean energy solutions.

The IEA’s ambitious but achievable goal to triple global renewable power capacity by 2030 underscores the urgency and scale of transformation required to meet the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C warming limit. This target, while daunting, is increasingly recognized by governments not just as a climate mitigation strategy, but as a critical component of energy security. The geopolitical landscape of recent years has vividly demonstrated how reliance on volatile fossil fuel markets can compromise national stability, propelling renewables to the forefront as a resilient and domestically controlled energy source. The inherent resilience of diversified renewable energy portfolios, free from the supply chain vulnerabilities often associated with traditional fuels, acts as a powerful hedge against global energy market fluctuations, fortifying national energy independence.

Burlington’s Beacon: A City’s Journey to 100% Renewable Electricity

The city of Burlington, Vermont, stands as a compelling proof point for the feasibility of achieving 100% renewable electricity, even for smaller municipalities. Just a decade after drawing a mere 25% of its energy from renewable sources in 2004, Burlington Electric successfully transitioned the city of approximately 50,000 residents to a fully renewable grid by 2014. This rapid transformation serves as a powerful testament to strategic planning, community buy-in, and diversified energy procurement.

Darren Springer, head of Burlington’s electric company, elaborates on the multifaceted approach. The city systematically expanded its reliance on hydropower, invested in wind projects, and integrated solar into its energy mix. The crucial final piece of this puzzle was the acquisition and operation of the local Winooski One hydropower dam. While Vermont’s climate dictates the variability of wind and solar resources, Burlington effectively manages grid stability through a diverse portfolio that includes dispatchable biomass from a local woodchip plant. This facility utilizes local wood residue—leftover products from higher-value forestry operations like timber and furniture production—which possesses a distinctly different, and significantly more favorable, carbon profile than energy derived from clear-cutting forests solely for fuel. This intelligent utilization of regional resources, combined with a committed populace and economically beneficial initiatives, allowed Burlington to become a true pioneer, offering a replicable blueprint for other communities aspiring to similar green transformations.

Navigating the Skies of Tomorrow: Decarbonizing the Aviation Industry

While cities like Burlington demonstrate tangible progress, decarbonizing “hard-to-abate” sectors like aviation presents a distinct set of challenges. As Amelia DeLuca, Delta Airlines’ Chief Sustainability Officer, candidly explains, aviation currently accounts for 2-3% of global greenhouse gas emissions, a figure projected to grow as other industries accelerate their transition to net zero. The core difficulty lies in physics: approximately 90% of an airline’s environmental impact stems from jet fuel, and the sheer weight and energy density requirements of batteries make electric flight for large commercial aircraft impractical for the foreseeable future. This means a direct substitution, mirroring the automotive industry’s shift to EVs, simply isn’t a viable pathway.

Consequently, the industry’s singular focus for deep decarbonization is Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF). SAF is a “liquid drop-in fuel,” meaning it is chemically identical to conventional jet fuel and can be used in existing aircraft engines and infrastructure without modification. The critical difference lies in its source: derived from renewable feedstocks such as used cooking oil, agricultural residues, or in the future, synthetic sources like hydrogen and captured carbon. While significant progress is being made—Delta, for instance, has steadily increased its SAF usage year-over-year—the scale-up challenge is immense. DeLuca highlights that Delta used roughly 5 million gallons of SAF recently, yet needs 400 million gallons by the latter half of the decade to reach just 10% of its total jet fuel replacement target. This stark contrast underscores the need to build an entirely new industry infrastructure, from feedstock sourcing to production and distribution, at a pace unprecedented in fuel manufacturing. The Royal Air Force’s successful 90-minute flight in 2022, powered entirely by cooking oil, serves as a powerful proof of concept, demonstrating that waste-based fuels can indeed achieve up to an 80% reduction in carbon emissions, propelling the industry towards its net-zero ambitions.

Innovating Beyond the Horizon: Next-Generation Energy Solutions

Beyond established renewables and industrial decarbonization efforts, a new wave of pioneering technologies promises to redefine how we generate and store energy. These innovations, while currently at varying stages of development, offer glimpses into a future where energy sources are more ubiquitous, efficient, and integrated into our daily environments.

Professor Jun Yao’s work on generating electricity from ambient air humidity, leveraging a natural protein, harks back to Nicola Tesla’s visionary concepts. While the current prototype can only power a single pixel of a TV screen, its potential lies in the sheer volume and continuous availability of atmospheric moisture. Unlike solar panels that compete for space and are subject to diurnal cycles, a device harnessing humidity offers 24/7 power, day and night, everywhere. The scalability from a lab prototype to a larger, commercially viable device remains a significant hurdle, but the prospect of ubiquitous, non-intrusive energy generation from the very air we breathe represents a paradigm shift in distributed power systems.

Furthermore, the challenge of energy storage, particularly for intermittent renewable sources like wind and solar, is being addressed by ingenious solutions like the world’s first large-scale sand battery in Kankaanpää, Finland. This innovation uses electricity from wind or solar to heat sand up to approximately 500° Celsius, storing this thermal energy for potentially months with minimal loss. This “thermal battery” concept, much like a giant thermos flask for heat, offers a remarkably simple yet effective method for long-duration energy storage, providing crucial grid flexibility and stability. The heat generated can then be used directly for district heating, as exemplified by its application to warm a municipal swimming pool, demonstrating a practical application for stabilizing energy supply and demand.

Even urban infrastructure is being reimagined as a source of clean energy. The London Underground, notorious for its sweltering conditions, is now proving that waste heat can be a valuable resource. At an abandoned Tube station, warm air pushed through ventilation shafts by passing trains is harnessed by fans, heating water in a tank. This hot water is then pumped to over 1,000 nearby council buildings, including homes, leisure centers, and a primary school. This ingenious district heating system transforms an environmental nuisance into a sustainable asset, reducing carbon emissions and enhancing urban energy self-sufficiency by extracting value from what was previously considered waste. Such localized, circular economy approaches underscore the vast, often overlooked, potential for integrating energy solutions within existing urban fabrics.

Powering the Planet: Your Questions on Renewable Reliability

Why is the world trying to switch to renewable energy?

The world is transitioning to renewable energy to move away from fossil fuels, reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and combat climate change, while also offering new economic opportunities.

What are ‘orphan wells’ and why are they harmful?

Orphan wells are old, abandoned oil and gas wells that leak methane, a potent greenhouse gas. They contribute to global warming and can cause local pollution.

Is renewable energy an expensive option?

No, the cost of renewable technologies like solar and wind has significantly dropped, making them often more affordable and economically superior to fossil fuels in many countries.

Can a whole city run entirely on renewable electricity?

Yes, cities like Burlington, Vermont, have successfully achieved 100% renewable electricity by using a mix of sources such as hydropower, wind, and solar.

How can the aviation industry reduce its environmental impact?

The aviation industry is focusing on Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), which is made from renewable sources like used cooking oil and can be used in existing aircraft to reduce carbon emissions.

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